E'Long been known that, advanced economies registering an unprecedented growth of the relationship between the elderly population and the working age population, especially due to the decrease in the birth rate and the average lifespan.
In Italy, the aging of the population, It is more pronounced than in other European countries. All forecasts tell us that, in fifteen years, almost half of the Italian population will be over sixty years of age.
Anziani, famiglie e assistenti. Sviluppi del welfare locale tra invecchiamento e immigrazione
In un recente report Eurostat, related to migratory flows towards Europe and our country in particular, it showed the enormous needs of immigrants to maintain the current population level (Europe-wide would need three million foreigners a year). This is the response, if we want for example, keep the rest of the population that is retired (sustainability of pension systems). Ma sand consider the working-age population (between 15 and the 64) resident in Italy, projections tell us that this will be reduced by about six million from 2015 the 2065 (which only five in southern Italy).
So foreigners, already today, fail to cover the deficit of population, due to the ongoing economic crisis (lack of work). In projection, the North and the Centre, immigrants will maintain the same level of the population, thanks to the increased supply of labor. The situation in the South of our country, albeit patchy (for entire regions, but even for some provinces, in them more dynamic), It could become dramatic view of the birth rate at almost zero and the aging population.
The quality of immigration is very low, and you have to elevate, why more and more will be required profiles intermediate technicians, that will decrease in the native population. Therefore we must seize this wave of immigrants as an opportunity to hold them by training them (Italian language, retraining, etc.). Quite the opposite of what you do today (hundreds of thousands of young people to get lost in the parked nothing).
In this case too, just copy what others do: Germany shows!
Alex Gaetani
To learn more about welfare and immigration, I report the following readings:
Il lavoro non basta. La povertà in Europa negli anni della crisi
I diritti previdenziali dei lavoratori migranti: Un welfare sempre più internazionale
